Systematic Futures Strategy

Trade the
Nasdaq 100
without discretion.

NQ Alpha Engine is a fully automated, model-driven strategy trading Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 futures. No human override. No emotional interference. Rules execute every time.

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Return +104.7%
Win Rate 62.4%
Trades 197
Max DD 10.2%
Sharpe 4.68
Profit Factor 2.2:1
Live AUM $1.24M
Since Mar 2026
Track Record

Performance

Cumulative Return
104.7%
Since March 2026
Win Rate
62.4%
123 wins / 74 losses
Max Drawdown
10.2%
Mar 30 – Apr 3, 2026
Sharpe Ratio
4.68
Sortino: 14.91
Profit Factor
2.2x
Avg win $164 / loss $126
Win Months
100%
4 of 4 months profitable
Monthly Returns
Year Mar Apr May Jun YTD
2026 +36.6% +25.6% +1.0% +18.1% +104.7%

Includes estimated broker commissions and strategy subscription fees.

Trades-Own-Strategy Certified
The strategy manager trades this system in a real, funded brokerage account at AMP Clearing (CQG) with 100% scaling. Since certification on March 10, 2026, 99.3% of signals have been executed live. TOS certification is independently verified by Collective2.
Methodology

How It Works

01 — Signal Generation
ML-Scored Support Levels
An XGBoost ensemble model scores historical swing lows on the MNQ H1 chart. Levels are ranked by bounce probability, incorporating 37 features including volatility regime, HTF confluence, and session context.
02 — Entry Filtering
Multi-Gate Trend Guards
Three independent gates suppress signals on trend days: a session-drop guard, a consecutive red-candle gate, and a dynamic RSI threshold that tightens scoring requirements in neutral market regimes.
03 — Execution
Automated Limit Orders
Qualifying signals place DAY buy limit orders at the identified level. Stop loss is fixed at 200 MNQ points. Take profit is fixed at 600 points. One trade per session. No manual intervention.
04 — Risk Control
Defined Risk Every Trade
Maximum exposure per trade is 200 MNQ points (~$400). The strategy never averages down, never scales into losses, and enforces a one-loss-per-day rule. Daily stop loss is a hard system gate.
Common Questions

FAQ

NQ Alpha Engine trades the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 futures contract (MNQ) on CME. Each MNQ contract controls $2 per index point. At current NQ levels (~29,000), one contract represents approximately $58,000 in notional value. The strategy trades one contract at a time.
Signals are generated by a machine learning model (XGBoost ensemble) that scores historical support levels on the MNQ H1 chart. The model evaluates 37 features including price structure, volatility regime, higher-timeframe confluence, RSI context, and session dynamics. Only levels scoring above a dynamic threshold trigger an order. No human makes any trade decisions.
Every trade carries a fixed 200-point stop loss, equal to $400 per contract. This is non-negotiable — the system places a hard stop on every order. Take profit is set at 600 points ($1,200 per contract), giving a 3:1 reward-to-risk ratio on each trade. Many trades exit earlier based on market conditions.
The recommended minimum is $7,000 USD for 1 contract. This accounts for overnight margin requirements (approximately $4,400 at most brokers) and provides enough buffer to withstand normal drawdowns without hitting margin limits or feeling pressured to exit positions early. Starting with less than $7,000 is not recommended as some positions are held overnight or for multiple days.
Subscribe on Collective2, then connect your broker account via AutoTrade. Supported brokers include AMP Clearing (CQG), Interactive Brokers, Tradovate, Tradier, and others. Once connected, trades execute automatically in your account whenever the strategy places a signal — no action required from you. Full setup instructions are available at collective2.com/lets-get-started.
Losing streaks are a mathematical certainty in any probabilistic trading system with a 62% win rate — they are not a signal that the strategy is broken. The edge emerges over a large sample of trades, not individual outcomes. Stopping during a drawdown and restarting after a winning period is the most reliable way to underperform the strategy's published results. The correct response to a drawdown is to do nothing and let the system continue executing.
Yes. The strategy holds Trades-Own-Strategy (TOS) certification from Collective2, which independently verifies that the manager is trading this exact system in a real funded brokerage account at AMP Clearing (CQG). Since certification began on March 10, 2026, 99.3% of signals have been executed live. The manager's account runs at 100% scaling — identical to what subscribers receive.
These results are real. The strategy manager trades this system with their own capital in a live funded brokerage account at AMP Clearing (CQG), verified independently by Collective2 through their Trades-Own-Strategy (TOS) certification. The track record reflects actual signals executed in real market conditions. Results for AutoTrade subscribers may vary slightly due to differences in broker, fill timing, and scaling.
The maximum stop loss per trade is $400 per contract (200 MNQ points × $2/point). This stop is hardcoded and fixed — it cannot be exceeded. Note that during earlier testing phases some trades did exceed this risk amount, but that is no longer the case. Every trade placed today has a hard maximum loss of $400 per contract built directly into the order at placement.
It depends on your broker's margin requirements. For example, my broker requires $4,400 overnight margin for one MNQ contract. If your account falls below that, you would be limited to intraday-only trading — which is a problem since some positions are held overnight or for multiple days. A more comfortable starting point is around $7,000 for one contract. This gives you enough buffer to withstand normal drawdowns without hitting margin limits or feeling pressured to close positions early.
Getting to zero is not realistically possible with this strategy. It is a fully automated, rules-based system with hard stop losses, daily loss limits, and cooldown periods built in. Account blow-ups typically happen through excessive leverage or emotional, discretionary trading — both of which this system eliminates by design. That said, this is a newer strategy still building its live track record, and past performance does not guarantee future results. My suggestion: start with one contract and $7,000, leave it running for at least a few months without changes, then reassess.
The strategy manager has 7 years of experience as a developer and trader. The strategy itself is computer-driven — the manager's focus is on building, optimizing, and maintaining the models rather than making discretionary trading decisions. No human override occurs during live trading.